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Parsimony versus reductionism: how can crowd psychology be introduced into computer simulation?

机译:简约与简约主义:如何将人群心理学引入计算机模拟?

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摘要

Computer simulations are increasingly being used to predict the behaviour of crowds. However, the models used are mainly based on video observations, not an understanding of human decision making. Theories of crowd psychology can elucidate the factors underpinning collective behaviour in human crowds. Yet, in contrast to psychology, computer science must rely upon mathematical formulations in order to implement algorithms and keep models manageable. Here we address the problems and possible solutions encountered when incorporating social psychological theories of collective behaviour in computer modelling. We identify that one primary issue is retaining parsimony in a model whilst avoiding reductionism by excluding necessary aspects of crowd psychology, such as the behaviour of groups. We propose cognitive heuristics as a potential avenue to create a parsimonious model that incorporates core concepts of collective behaviour derived from empirical research in crowd psychology.
机译:计算机模拟越来越多地用于预测人群的行为。但是,使用的模型主要基于视频观察,而不是对人类决策的理解。人群心理学理论可以阐明支撑人群集体行为的因素。但是,与心理学相反,计算机科学必须依靠数学公式来实现算法并保持模型的可管理性。在这里,我们解决了在计算机建模中纳入集体行为的社会心理学理论时遇到的问题和可能的解决方案。我们确定一个主要问题是保留模型中的简约性,同时通过排除人群心理的必要方面(例如群体行为)来避免简化主义。我们提出认知启发式方法作为一种创建简约模型的潜在途径,该模型融合了从人群心理学中的实证研究得出的集体行为的核心概念。

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