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Study of Forecasting Renewable Energies in Smart Grids Using Linear predictive filters and Neural Networks

机译:利用线性预测滤波器和神经网络预测智能电网可再生能源的研究

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摘要

Accurate forecasting of renewable energies such as wind and solar has become one of the most important issues in developing smart grids. Therefore, introducing suitable means of weather forecasting with acceptable precision becomes a necessary task in today’s changing power world. In this work, an intelligent way for hourly estimation of both wind speed and solar radiation in a typical smart grid has been proposed and its superior performance is compared to those of conventional methods and Neural Networks (NNs). The methodology is based on linear predictive coding and digital image processing principles using 2-D FIR filters. Meteorological data has been collected during the period January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2009 from Casella automatic weather station (AWS) at Plymouth, UK. Numerical results indicate that a considerable improvement in forecasting process is achieved with 2-D predictive filtering compared to the conventional approaches.
机译:准确预测风能和太阳能等可再生能源已成为开发智能电网中最重要的问题之一。因此,在当今瞬息万变的电力世界中,引入具有可接受的精度的合适天气预报方法成为一项必要的任务。在这项工作中,提出了一种用于每小时估算典型智能电网中风速和太阳辐射的智能方法,并将其优越的性能与传统方法和神经网络(NN)进行了比较。该方法基于线性预测编码和使用2-D FIR滤波器的数字图像处理原理。在2009年1月1日至2009年12月31日期间,从英国普利茅斯的Casella自动气象站(AWS)收集了气象数据。数值结果表明,与传统方法相比,二维预测滤波在预测过程中取得了显着改善。

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