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The Impact of Yuan Internationalization on the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate

机译:人民币国际化对欧元兑美元汇率的影响

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摘要

We study the implication of a multipolarization of the international monetary system on crosscurrency volatility. More specifically, we analyze whether the internationalization of the yuan could modify the impact of asset supply and trade shocks on the euro-dollar exchange rate, within a threecountry, three-currency portfolio model. Our static model shows that the internationalization of the yuan (defined as a rise in the yuan in international portfolios) would be either neutral or stabilizing for the euro-dollar rate, whatever the exchange-rate regime of China. Moving to a dynamic, stockflow framework, we show that the internationalization of the yuan would make exchange-rate variations more efficient to stabilize net foreign asset positions after a trade shock.
机译:我们研究了国际货币体系的多极化对交叉货币波动的影响。更具体地说,我们在三种国家/三种货币的投资组合模型中分析人民币的国际化是否可以改变资产供应和贸易冲击对欧元兑美元汇率的影响。我们的静态模型表明,无论中国采用何种汇率制度,人民币的国际化(定义为国际投资组合中的人民币升值)要么是中性的,要么是稳定的。转向动态的库存流框架,我们显示,人民币国际化将使汇率变动更有效地稳定贸易后的外国净资产头寸。

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