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'The relationship between tornadic and nontornadic convective wind fatalities and warnings'

机译:“龙卷风和非对称风对流风致死亡和警告之间的关系”

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摘要

A database of tornado fatalities, nontornadic convective wind fatalities, severe thunderstorm warnings,and tornado warnings was compiled for the period 1986–2007 to assess the spatial and temporal distributionof warned and unwarned fatalities. The time of fatality and location as reported in Storm Data was comparedto tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings to determine if a warning was in effect when the fatalityoccurred. Overall, 23.7% of tornado fatalities were unwarned, while 53.2% of nontornadic convective windfatalities were unwarned. Most unwarned tornado fatalities occurred prior to the mid-1990s—coincidingwith modernization of the National Weather Service—while unwarned nontornadic convective wind fa-talities remained at a relatively elevated frequency throughout the study period. Geographic locations withhigh numbers of unwarned tornado and nontornadic convective wind fatalities were associated with onehigh-magnitude event that was unwarned rather than a series of smaller unwarned events over the period.There are many factors that contribute to warning response by the public, and the issuance of a severethunderstorm or tornado warning is an important initial step in the warning process. A better understandingof the characteristics of warned and unwarned fatalities is important to future reduction of unwarnedfatalities.
机译:编制了1986-2007年龙卷风死亡,非对流对流风死亡,雷暴严重警告和龙卷风警告的数据库,以评估警告和未警告死亡的时空分布。将风暴数据中报告的死亡时间和位置与龙卷风和严重雷暴警告相比较,以确定在发生死亡时警告是否有效。总体而言,未警告的龙卷风死亡人数为23.7%,而非对流对流风速死亡的人数为53.2%。大多数未经警告的龙卷风致死事件发生在1990年代中期之前(与国家气象局的现代化程度相吻合),而在整个研究期间,未经警告的非龙卷风对流风灾的发生频率仍然相对较高。在此期间,发生不加警告的龙卷风和非对流对流风致死人数较高的地理位置与一个未经警告的高震级事件相关,而不是此期间发生的一系列较小的不加警告事件。强烈的雷暴或龙卷风预警是预警过程中重要的第一步。更好地了解警告和未警告死亡的特征对于将来减少未警告死亡至关重要。

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  • 作者

    Ashley Walker S.; Black A.W.;

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  • 年度 2011
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  • 正文语种 en_US
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