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A complex systems approach to constructing better models for managing financial markets and the economy

机译:一种复杂的系统方法,用于构建更好的模型来管理金融市场和经济

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摘要

We outline a vision for an ambitious program to understand the economy and financial markets as a complex evolving system of coupled networks of interacting agents. This is a completely different vision from that currently used in most economic models. This view implies new challenges and opportunities for policy and managing economic crises. The dynamics of such models inherently involve sudden and sometimes dramatic changes of state. Further, the tools and approaches we use emphasize the analysis of crises rather than of calm periods. In this they respond directly to the calls of Governors Bernanke and Trichet for new approaches to macroeconomic modelling.
机译:我们概述了一个雄心勃勃的计划的构想,以将经济和金融市场理解为相互作用的主体耦合网络的复杂演化系统。这与当前大多数经济模型所使用的愿景完全不同。这种观点暗示了政策和应对经济危机的新挑战和机遇。这种模型的动力学本质上涉及状态的突然变化,有时甚至是戏剧性变化。此外,我们使用的工具和方法强调对危机的分析,而不是对平静时期的分析。在这种情况下,他们直接回应了伯南克(Bernanke)和特里谢(Trichet)州长关于采用新方法进行宏观经济建模的呼吁。

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