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Partisan politics : parties, primaries and elections

机译:党派政治:各方,初选和大选

摘要

Parties' candidates are chosen by different nomination rules. Recent empirical evidence showsthat these rules influence the attributes of the nominees; for instance, open primaries in the U.S.choose more extreme candidates than closed primaries. Despite this evidence, the literature does notprovide an explanation of why appealing to a more moderate electorate -as during open primariesresultsin more extreme candidates. I build a model that shows that open primaries elect predictableextremists", while, for instance, party leaders would chose moderate mavericks". I obtain these resultsthrough a model that puts together 3 pieces of partisan politics: affiliation decisions, nomination rules,and an observed endogenous valence, which (together with party membership) signals the candidates'ideologies. Moreover, I investigate the welfare implications of three methods: nomination by the partyleader, by closed primaries, and by open primaries. I show the conditions under which nomination byparty leaders leads to higher social welfare than nomination by open primaries. Furthermore, I showthat higher screening by parties, leads to more ideologically uncertain candidates. In sum, I argue thatparty affiliation decisions, and endogenous valence play a large role in understanding the effects ofnomination rules on the political equilibria.
机译:缔约方的候选人由不同的提名规则选择。最近的经验证据表明,这些规则会影响被提名人的属性。例如,在美国,公开初选比封闭初选选择更多的极端候选人。尽管有这些证据,文献也没有提供解释为什么要吸引更温和的选民的原因,就像在公开初选的结果中有更多极端候选人那样。我建立了一个模型,显示开放的初选会选出“可预测的极端分子”,而例如,政党领导人会选择“中等特立独行者”。我通过一个将党派政治的三部分组合在一起的模型来获得这些结果:隶属关系决定,提名规则和观察到的内在价(与党员身份一起发出),标志着候选人的意识形态。此外,我研究了三种方法对福利的影响:党魁,封闭式初选和开放式初选的提名。我展示了党领导提名比公开初选提名产生更高社会福利的条件。此外,我表明,当事方的更高筛选会导致思想上更加不确定的候选人。总而言之,我认为政党的归属决定和内在价在理解提名规则对政治平衡的影响方面起着重要作用。

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    Casas Agustin;

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  • 年度 2013
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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