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Design of artificial neural networks based on genetic algorithms to forecast time series

机译:基于遗传算法的人工神经网络预测时间序列设计

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摘要

In this work an initial approach to design Artificial Neural Networks to forecast time series is tackle, and the automatic process to design is carried out by a Genetic Algorithm. A key issue for these kinds of approaches is what information is included in the chromosome that represents an Artificial Neural Network. There are two principal ideas about this question: first, the chromosome contains information about parameters of the topology, architecture, learning parameters, etc. of the Artificial Neural Network, i.e. Direct Encoding Scheme; second, the chromosome contains the necessary information so that a constructive method gives rise to an Artificial Neural Network topology (or architecture), i.e. Indirect Encoding Scheme. The results for a Direct Encoding Scheme (in order to compare with Indirect Encoding Schemes developed in future works) to design Artificial Neural Networks for NN3 Forecasting Time Series Competition are shown.
机译:在这项工作中,解决了一种设计人工神经网络来预测时间序列的初始方法,并且通过遗传算法执行了自动设计过程。这些方法的关键问题是代表人工神经网络的染色体中包含哪些信息。关于这个问题有两个主要思想:首先,染色体包含有关人工神经网络的拓扑参数,体系结构,学习参数等的信息,即直接编码方案;第二,染色体包含必要的信息,从而使构造方法产生了人工神经网络拓扑(或体系结构),即间接编码方案。显示了直接编码方案的结果(以便与未来工作中开发的间接编码方案进行比较),以设计用于NN3预测时间序列竞赛的人工神经网络。

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