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Bootstrap tests for simple structures in nonparametric time series regression

机译:非参数时间序列回归中的简单结构的Bootstrap测试

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摘要

This paper concerns statistical tests for simple structures such as parametric models, lower order models and additivity in a general nonparametric autoregression setting. We propose to use a modified L2-distance between the nonparametric estimator of regression function and its counterpart under null hypothesis as our test statistic which delimits the contribution from areas where data are sparse. The asymptotic properties of the test statistic are established, which indicates the test statistic is asymptotically equivalent to a quadratic form of innovations. A regression type resampling scheme (i.e. wild bootstrap) is adapted to estimate the distribution of this quadratic form. Further, we have shown that asymptotically this bootstrap distribution is indeed the distribution of the test statistics under null hypothesis. The proposed methodology has been illustrated by both simulation and application to German stock index data.
机译:本文涉及一般非参数自回归设置中对简单结构(如参数模型,低阶模型和可加性)的统计检验。我们建议在零假设下使用回归函数的非参数估计量与其对应变量之间的修正的L2距离作为我们的检验统计量,该统计量可界定数据稀疏区域的贡献。建立了检验统计量的渐近性质,这表明检验统计量在渐近性上等同于创新的二次形式。回归类型的重采样方案(即野生引导程序)适用于估计此二次形式的分布。此外,我们已经证明,这种渐近分布确实是在原假设下的检验统计量的分布。仿真和对德国股指数据的应用都说明了所提出的方法。

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