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China’s GDP per capita from the Han Dynasty to communist times

机译:从汉代到共产时期的中国人均GDP

摘要

Our article is a critical survey of the concepts and data utilized by economists and economic historians that purport to measure relative levels and long term trends in GDP per capita from the Han Dynasty to Communist times. We favour attempts to extend macro-economic analysis and its associated quantification to China’s long imperial history, but have concluded that estimates calibrated in international dollars for 1900, or 2005 or 2011 are not fit for that purpose. Furthermore, and after surveying recent endeavours to reconstruct the published secondary and official statistical sources available for the measurement of primary production for Ming and Qing China (1368-1911), we reluctantly suggest that Kuznetian paradigms for empirical economics are probably not viable, either for the measurement of the empire’s growth over time or for reciprocal comparisons with European economies. This is because on both conceptual and statistical grounds the concept and associated metric for GDP per capita does not travel easily and securely between the fiscal systems of China andudthe West (Yun-Casallila and O’Brien 2012).
机译:本文是对经济学家和经济史学家所使用的概念和数据的重要调查,这些概念和数据旨在衡量汉代至共产主义时期人均GDP的相对水平和长期趋势。我们支持将宏观经济分析及其相关的量化范围扩展到中国悠久的帝国历史的尝试,但得出的结论是,以1900、2005或2011年的国际美元标定的估算值不适合该目的。此外,在调查了最近为重建明清时期(1368-1911年)的初级生产而提供的二手和官方统计数据的最新资料后,我们无奈地提出,库兹涅特的经验经济学范式可能不可行,无论是对于衡量帝国随着时间的增长或与欧洲经济体进行对等比较的指标。这是因为从概念和统计的角度来看,人均GDP的概念和相关指标在中国和西方国家的财政体系之间都不容易且安全地传递(Yun-Casallila和O'Brien,2012年)。

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