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Optimal decisions for the loss-averse newsvendor problem under CVaR

机译:在CVaR下避免损失的新闻卖方问题的最佳决策

摘要

Most of the existing literature about the newsvendor problem mainly focused on choosing an optimal order quantity to maximize the expected profit of a risk-neutral newsvendor. However, some studies pointed out that in practice managers decisions as to order quantities always deviate from the profit-maximization order quantity, which is referred to as decision bias in the newsvendor problem. Then, many studies introduced other preferences rather than risk neutrality of the newsvendor to explain such a decision bias. This paper thus introduces loss aversion to the research of the newsvendor decision bias. We propose a new definition to the loss-averse newsvendor problem-legacy loss, which is defined either as the loss for excess order or the shortage penalty for lost sales when sales time is due. The optimal decisions of a loss-averse newsvendor are obtained through the following three ways: (i) minimizing the expected legacy loss, (ii) minimizing CVaR of legacy loss by combining the CVaR measure in risk management, (III) minimizing the combination of expected legacy loss and CVaR of legacy loss; and are compared with other existing results. Besides, we present some properties of the optimal decisions as well as relations among them. Some numerical examples are given to illustrate the obtained results.
机译:现有的有关新闻供应商问题的大多数文献主要集中在选择最佳定单数量以最大化风险中立的新闻供应商的预期利润。但是,一些研究指出,在实践中,经理关于订单数量的决策始终偏离利润最大化的订单数量,这在新闻供应商问题中称为决策偏差。然后,许多研究引入了其他偏好而不是新闻供应商的风险中立性来解释这种决策偏向。因此,本文将损失厌恶情绪引入了新闻供应商决策偏差的研究。我们对避免损失的新闻卖方问题遗留损失提出了新的定义,定义为超额订单损失或在销售时间到期时因销售损失而造成的短缺罚款。通过以下三种方式可以获得避免损失的报摊的最佳决策:(i)最小化预期的传统损失,(ii)通过在风险管理中结合使用CVaR措施来最小化传统损失的CVaR,(III)最小化以下因素的组合预期遗留损失和遗留损失的CVaR;并与其他现有结果进行比较。此外,我们介绍了最优决策的一些属性以及它们之间的关系。给出了一些数值例子来说明所获得的结果。

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