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An independent appraisal of the polaris operational testing procedures.

机译:对北极星操作测试程序的独立评估。

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摘要

The first section of this paper is concerned with determining the required lower confidence limit that must be met by testing after a missile system becomes operational. Some of the costs of making decisions about the required system reliability lower confidence limit are discussed. Two possible cost effective models for determining the optimum test size are suggested. The second section of this paper is concerned with the effects of changing the number of missiles tested in each year while maintaining the total number of systems tests constant over the missile system's projected operating life. In other words, in this section, the effects of testing heavily in the first years versus testing heavily at the end of the system's life or versus testing uniformly throughout the life of the system are compared. For this comparison, the sum of the variances of the estimators determined from the results of the tests conducted in each year is obtained. This value is compared for six representative distributions of testing throughout an estimated system life of ten years.
机译:本文的第一部分涉及确定导弹系统投入运行后必须通过测试来满足的要求的较低置信度限制。讨论了有关所需系统可靠性下置信限的决策成本。建议使用两种可能的成本有效模型来确定最佳测试尺寸。本文的第二部分关注的是改变每年测试的导弹数量的影响,同时保持系统测试总数在导弹系统的预期使用寿命内保持恒定。换句话说,在本节中,将比较在头几年进行大量测试与在系统寿命结束时进行大量测试或在系统整个生命周期中进行统一测试的效果。为了进行该比较,获得了根据每年进行的测试结果确定的估计量方差的总和。在整个系统估计的十年寿命中,将对六个代表性测试分布比较此值。

著录项

  • 作者

    Stanford David Leland;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 1966
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en_US
  • 中图分类

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