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Dynamic-programming approaches to single-and multi-stage stochastic knapsack problems for portfolio optimization

机译:用于组合优化的单阶段和多阶段随机背包问题的动态编程方法

摘要

This thesis proposes new methods, based on dynamic programming, for solving certain single-stage and multi-stage integer stochastic knapsack problems. These problems model stochastic portfolio optimization problems (SPOPs) which assume deterministic unit weight, and normally distributed unit return with known mean and variance for each item type. Given an initial wealth, the objective is to select a portfolio that maximizes the probability of achieving or exceeding a specified final return threshold; the multi-stage problem allows revisions of the portfolio at regular time intervals. An exact method is developed to solve a single-stage SPOP with independence of returns among item types. For a problem from the literature with 11 item types, this method obtains an optimal solution in a fraction of a second on a laptop computer. An approximation method, based on discretization of possible wealth values, is developed to solve a multi-stage SPOP with inter- and intra-stage independence of returns among item types. Running on a desktop computer, this approximation method solves a 3-stage problem with 6 item types in under 12 minutes. With finer discretization in a 3-stage problem with 8 item types, the solution time is about 46 minutes.
机译:本文提出了一种基于动态规划的新方法,用于解决某些单阶段和多阶段整数随机背包问题。这些问题对随机投资组合优化问题(SPOP)进行建模,这些问题假设确定的单位权重以及每种项目类型的均值和方差已知的正态分布单位收益。给定初始财富,目标是选择一个能够最大程度地达到或超过指定的最终回报门槛的投资组合;多阶段问题允许按固定的时间间隔对投资组合进行修订。开发了一种精确的方法来解决单阶段SPOP,且项目类型之间的收益无关。对于来自11种物品类型的文献中的问题,此方法可在便携式计算机上几分之一秒内获得最佳解决方案。提出了一种基于可能财富值离散化的近似方法,以解决项目类型之间的阶段间和阶段内收益独立的多阶段SPOP。这种近似方法在台式计算机上运行,​​可在12分钟内解决6种物品类型的3阶段问题。在具有8个项目类型的3阶段问题中进行更好的离散化后,求解时间约为46分钟。

著录项

  • 作者

    Khoo Wai Gea;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 1999
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en_US
  • 中图分类

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