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Dual containment in the Persian Gulf: strategic considerations and policy options

机译:波斯湾的双重遏制:战略考虑和政策选择

摘要

This thesis is a critical analysis of US foreign policy toward Iran and Iraq known as a policy of dual containment. The objective of dual containment is to isolate these regimes politically, economically and militarily. This thesis evaluates American conduct in the region for the last 50 years, in order to show how previous strategies culminated in the present policy. It discusses both the merits and problems inherent in dual containment, as well as the impact of this policy on its two intended recipients. In closing, the thesis offers possible policy options, including an analysis of their specific advantages and disadvantages. The findings of this research conclude that dual containment is a sustainable policy in the near term and ensures that US vital national interests in the region are not challenged. In the long term, however, it is argued that America needs to initiate a policy of incremental engagement toward both Iran and Iraq. This strategy should begin with economic ties leading eventually to diplomatic relations. Nevertheless, both regimes need to demonstrate the desire and ability to accept the standards of behavior as established by the community of nations.
机译:本文是对美国对伊和伊外交政策的批判性分析,被称为双重遏制政策。双重遏制的目的是在政治,经济和军事上隔离这些政权。本论文评估了过去50年美国在该地区的行为,以显示以前的策略如何在当前政策中达到高潮。它讨论了双重收容的固有优点和问题,以及该政策对其预期的两个接收者的影响。最后,本文提供了可能的政策选择,包括对其具体优缺点的分析。这项研究的结果得出结论,双重遏制是近期的可持续政策,可确保美国在该地区的重要国家利益不受挑战。但是,从长远来看,有人认为美国需要启动对伊朗和伊拉克的渐进接触政策。该战略应从经济联系开始,最终发展成外交关系。尽管如此,两种制度都需要表现出接受国际社会确立的行为标准的愿望和能力。

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