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Effects of moral conduct waivers on U.S. Army First-Term enlistment attrition

机译:道德行为豁免对美国陆军首期入伍损耗的影响

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摘要

This study evaluates the U.S. Army's policy on granting moral conduct waivers and the effects of moral conduct waivers on the quality of service. The analysis investigates the wartime levels of recruits who were approved for different categories of conduct waivers. Research conducted includes multivariate analysis in the form of ordinary least squares regression models and probit regression models. This study employs U.S. Army MEPCOM data obtained from the Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC) for soldiers who enlisted between 2000 and 2006. I analyze first-term attrition as a function of age, sex, race, AFQT, rank, bonus size, education, prior service, youth program participation (such as JROTC), contract length, and all sub-categories of conduct waivers. In addition, I analyze attrition at 180 and 365 days for all cohorts. The study also includes a survival analysis to investigate whether conduct waivers affect the duration of survival during the first enlistment contract. The analysis reveals that the comparison of attrition rates between soldiers with wavers and those without does not remain constant and depends on when attrition is measured. At the beginning of the term, conduct waiver soldiers attrite at lower rates than non-waiver soldiers. However, at the end of the first term this pattern is reversed. Model results show that recruits in the Global War on Terror (GWOT) sample did not have a large difference in attrition rates between the waiver and non-waiver groups by the end of the first term of service. By breaking down the conduct waivers into sub-categories of waivers (substance, serious, and traffic), I find that there are significant differences between each group's attrition rates. These findings raise the question of whether the conduct waiver policy needs to be revised to better suit current wartime needs and demographic changes in the recruit population
机译:这项研究评估了美国陆军授予道德行为豁免的政策以及道德行为豁免对服务质量的影响。该分析调查了被批准接受不同类别行为豁免的新兵的战时水平。进行的研究包括以普通最小二乘回归模型和概率回归模型的形式进行的多元分析。这项研究使用了从国防人力数据中心(DMDC)获得的2000年至2006年入伍士兵的美国陆军MEPCOM数据。我分析了第一损耗的年龄,性别,种族,AFQT,军衔,奖金数额,教育程度的函数,事前服务,青年计划的参与(例如JROTC),合同时长以及行为减免的所有子类别。此外,我分析了所有同类人群在180天和365天的损耗。该研究还包括一项生存分析,以调查行为豁免是否影响第一份入伍合同期间的生存时间。分析表明,有摇动的士兵与没有摇动的士兵之间的损耗率比较并不恒定,取决于何时测量损耗。在学期开始时,行为豁免士兵的举止比非豁免士兵的举止要低。但是,在第一学期末,这种模式是相反的。模型结果显示,到第一任期结束时,全球反恐战争(GWOT)样本中的新兵在减免组和非减免组之间的减员率差异不大。通过将行为豁免划分为豁免的子类别(物质,严重和交通),我发现每个组的人员流失率之间存在显着差异。这些发现提出了一个问题,即是否需要修订行为豁免政策以更好地适应当前的战时需求和新兵的人口变化

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    Distifeno Christopher W.;

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  • 年度 2008
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