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Cross-country multi-sectorial LMDI decomposition of aggregate energy consumption

机译:越野多部门LMDI总能耗的分解

摘要

Although a cornerstone for development, past and current energy uses have often posed a major challenge for policy makers regarding energy planning and management. Within this context, in this paper an updated multi-sectorial cross-country assessment of energy consumption trends was undertaken, contributing to existing literature and to the public debate over policy efforts towards sustainable development of the energy sector. This cross-country assessment encompasses a set of developed and emerging countries (United Kingdom, Portugal, Brazil and China). Resorting to a Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI), aggregate energy consumption was decomposed into three main explanatory effects: activity, structure and intensity. The major findings achieved reflect the relevance of intensity and activity effects in detriment of structural effect, since for all countries the main variations have been associated to both overall activity and intensity effect. Assessment of energy consumption trends through decomposition lens provides critical information regarding which is the dominant factor that should be focused during policy design, in order to improve overall energy consumption.
机译:尽管是发展的基石,但过去和当前的能源使用通常在能源规划和管理方面对政策制定者构成了重大挑战。在此背景下,本文对能源消费趋势进行了跨部门的最新评估,为现有文献和有关能源部门可持续发展的政策努力的公众辩论做出了贡献。这项跨国评估涵盖了一组发达国家和新兴国家(英国,葡萄牙,巴西和中国)。借助于对数平均除数指数(LMDI),总能耗被分解为三个主要的解释性影响:活动,结构和强度。取得的主要发现反映了强度和活动效应对结构效应的影响,因为对于所有国家来说,主要差异都与总体活动和强度效应有关。通过分解透镜评估能源消耗趋势可提供关键信息,以了解哪些是政策设计期间应重点关注的主要因素,以改善总体能源消耗。

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