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Weighted least absolute deviations estimation for ARMA models with infinite variance

机译:具有无限方差的ARMA模型的加权最小绝对偏差估计

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摘要

For autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models with infinite variance innovations, quasi-likelihood-based estimators (such as Whittle estimators) suffer from complex asymptotic distributions depending on unknown tail indices. This makes statistical inference for such models difficult. In contrast, the least absolute deviations estimators (LADE) are more appealing in dealing with heavy tailed processes. In this paper, we propose a weighted least absolute deviations estimator (WLADE) for ARMA models. We show that the proposed WLADE is asymptotically normal, is unbiased, and has the standard root-n convergence rate even when the variance of innovations is infinity. This paves the way for statistical inference based on asymptotic normality for heavy-tailed ARMA processes. For relatively small samples numerical results illustrate that the WLADE with appropriate weight is more accurate than the Whittle estimator, the quasi-maximum-likelihood estimator (QMLE), and the Gauss–Newton estimator when the innovation variance is infinite and that the efficiency loss due to the use of weights in estimation is not substantial.
机译:对于具有无限方差创新的自回归移动平均(ARMA)模型,基于拟似然的估计量(例如Whittle估计量)受复杂的渐近分布的影响,具体取决于未知的尾部指数。这使得难以对此类模型进行统计推断。相比之下,最小绝对偏差估计器(LADE)在处理重尾过程时更具吸引力。在本文中,我们为ARMA模型提出了加权最小绝对偏差估计器(WLADE)。我们表明,即使创新方差是无穷大,所提出的WLADE也是渐近正态的,是无偏的,并且具有标准的root-n收敛速度。这为基于重尾ARMA进程的渐近正态性的统计推断铺平了道路。对于相对较小的样本,数值结果表明,当创新方差为无穷大且由于效率损失时,具有适当权重的WLADE比Whittle估计器,准最大似然估计器(QMLE)和Gauss-Newton估计器更准确。在估计中使用权重并不重要。

著录项

  • 作者

    Pan Jiazhu; Wang Hui; Yao Qiwei;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2007
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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