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Is Greece turning the corner? a theory-based assessment ofudrecent Greek macro-policy

机译:希腊在转弯吗?对 ud的基于理论的评估最近的希腊宏观政策

摘要

We use a macro-theory framework of analysis to assess Greek economic policy, with emphasis on the current period of the Greek debt crisis. We argue that this is mainly the result of misguided past internal policies deviating substantially from the policy lessons of modern macroeconomics. The current policy, however, is consistent with mainstream macro and provides a credible platform for achieving sustainable growth. We argue that Greece has entered the process of economic recovery, but this is still fragile and exposed to risks. Overall, we support the continued participation of Greece to the euro: Although a country’s currency is not per se a determinant of long-term economic prosperity, supply-side reforms and institutional performance are; and both these objectives are better served for Greece within the EMU rather than outside.
机译:我们使用宏观理论分析框架来评估希腊的经济政策,重点是希腊债务危机的当前时期。我们认为,这主要是过去的内部政策被误导的结果,其与现代宏观经济学的政策教训大相径庭。但是,当前的政策与主流宏观政策是一致的,并为实现可持续增长提供了可靠的平台。我们认为,希腊已进入经济复苏进程,但这仍然脆弱且面临风险。总体而言,我们支持希腊继续加入欧元区:尽管一个国家的货币本身并不是长期经济繁荣的决定因素,但供应方改革和体制绩效是决定因素;这两个目标在欧洲货币联盟内部而不是外部都更好地为希腊服务。

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