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User clustering and traffic prediction in a trunked radio system

机译:集群无线电系统中的用户集群和流量预测

摘要

Traditional statistical analysis of network data is often employed to determine traffic distribution, to summarize useru27s behavior patterns, or to predict future network traffic. Mining of network data may be used to discover hidden user groups, to detect payment fraud, or to identify network abnormalities. In our research we combine traditional traffic analysis with data mining technique. We analyze three months of continuous network log data from a deployed public safety trunked radio network. After data cleaning and traffic extraction, we identify clusters of talk groups by applying Autoclass tool and K-means algorithm on useru27s behavior patterns represented by the hourly number of calls. We propose a traffic prediction model by applying the classical SARIMA models on the clusters of users. The predicted network traffic agrees with the collected traffic data and the proposed cluster-based prediction approach performs well compared to the prediction based on the aggregate traffic.
机译:传统的网络数据统计分析通常用于确定流量分布,总结用户的行为模式或预测未来的网络流量。网络数据的挖掘可用于发现隐藏的用户组,检测支付欺诈或识别网络异常。在我们的研究中,我们将传统的流量分析与数据挖掘技术相结合。我们分析了来自已部署的公共安全中继无线电网络的三个月连续网络日志数据。经过数据清理和流量提取之后,我们通过将自动分类工具和K-means算法应用于每小时通话次数所代表的用户行为模式,来识别通话群组。我们通过在用户集群上应用经典SARIMA模型来提出流量预测模型。预测的网络流量与收集的流量数据相符,并且与基于总流量的预测相比,所提出的基于群集的预测方法表现良好。

著录项

  • 作者

    Chen Hao Leo;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2005
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 English
  • 中图分类

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