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Environmental problems, uncertainty, and mathematical modeling

机译:环境问题,不确定性和数学建模

摘要

In this paper we discuss three rather special characteristics shared by manyudenvironmental problems. Namely, that (i) the environmental variables in which we areudmost interested constitute a stochastic process; (ii) the long-term or limiting behaviorudand the short-term or transient behavior are often both important; and (iii) theudunderlying probability distributions are likely to be influenced by the environmentaludpolicies or remedies that we choose to impose. This third characteristic impliesudthe need to understand the impact of technologies and controls that influenceudthe dynamics of the system. The control theoretic perspective of environmentaludengineering problems has, we believe, received less attention than it deserves inudthe literature. Consequently, after a brief discussion of the exogenous, control-independentudcase we focus on illustrating some special challenges and opportunitiesudembedded in the control-dependent situations.
机译:在本文中,我们讨论了许多环境问题共有的三个相当特殊的特征。也就是说,(i)我们最感兴趣的环境变量构成了一个随机过程; (ii)长期或限制行为 ud和短期或短暂行为通常都很重要; (iii)潜在的概率分布可能会受到我们选择施加的环境政策或补救措施的影响。第三个特征意味着需要了解影响系统动态的技术和控件的影响。我们认为,环境工程设计问题的控制理论视角受到的关注少于文献中应有的关注。因此,在简短讨论了外在的,与控制无关的情况时,我们着重于说明在与控制有关的情况中隐含的一些特殊挑战和机遇。

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