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Rational Herding and The Spatial Clustering of Bank Branches: An Empirical Analysis

机译:理性羊群效应与银行分支机构的空间聚集:一个实证分析

摘要

Bank Branches in NYC tend to be spatial clustered. For instance, of the 221 branches that were opened in NYC between July 1990 and June 1995-, 181 or 82 percent were opened in census tracts that already had at least one other branch. A number of recent theoretical papers have highlighted the possibility of rational herding in various arenas of economic activity. This paper explores empirically whether the apparent clustering of bank branches can be at least partially attributed to rational herding by banks. We find that even after controlling for the expected profitability of operating a branch in an area, branch openings follow other, existing branches. Moreover, such band wagon behavior appears to reduce branch profits. These findings, combined, suggest that herd behavior may be a factor in the branch location decisions of banks.
机译:纽约市的银行分行往往是空间聚集的。例如,在1990年7月至1995年6月期间在纽约市开设的221个分支机构中,有181个或82%的人口普查区域已经开设了至少一个其他分支机构。最近的许多理论论文都强调了在各种经济活动领域进行理性放牧的可能性。本文从经验上探讨了银行分支机构的表观集群是否至少可以部分归因于银行的理性羊群效应。我们发现,即使在控制了某个地区的分支机构的预期盈利能力之后,分支机构的营业额也会跟随其他现有分支机构的发展。此外,这种旅行车行为似乎减少了分支机构的利润。这些发现加在一起表明,羊群行为可能是银行分支机构选址决策的一个因素。

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