A Case Study on Investigation of Component Age Dependent Reliability Models - EC JRC Network on Use of Probabilistic Safety Assessments (PSA) for Evaluation of Aging Effects to the Safety of Energy Facilities - Task 4

摘要

The report presents the results of a case study on "Investigation of component age dependent reliability models" implemented by INPE and JRC IE in the frame of EC JRC Ageing PSA Network Task 4 activities. Several cases of Generalized Linear Model were proposed and investigated for the cases of continues and discrete data. The Fisher Chi-2 minimization approach was applied for goodness of fit test and parameters elaboration. Finally, uncertainty analysis was done for estimated parameters and model extrapolations. The results were analyzed and compared with other approaches.