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Understanding price movements : measurement of price rigidity and pure price change

机译:了解价格走势:价格刚性和纯价格变化的度量

摘要

The primary focus of this thesis is on price movements at market levels. This thesisexamines the measurement of two aspects of price movements: the degree of pricerigidity and pure price change. Price is defined to be rigid if its response to a demandor cost shock is slow and the magnitude of adjustment is proportionately lessthan the shock. Price rigidity is one of the critical issues in the microfoundationsof macroeconomics, and its importance has been documented at least since Keynes'(1936) The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Regarding pureprice change, in many markets the measurement of pure price change is difficult toobtain because the observed prices are contaminated by quality and compositionalchanges in the products. The literature on price indexes emphasises the importanceof accounting for quality change at the market level. These issues will be explored inthis thesis. The chapters of this thesis provide distinct but complementary contributionsto the literature of price movement. Chapter 2 uses vector error correctionmodels to estimate the degree of price rigidity in the retail coffee markets of 17different countries. A stylised fact that emerges from the work is that price adjustmenttypically occurs within two quarters after a shock is imposed. In terms of themagnitude of price changes, prices are found to be more rigid to cost shocks than toforeign shocks. Chapter 3 explores the extent to which products follow systematicpricing patterns over their life cycle and the impact this has on the measurement ofinflation. A number of specifications of hedonic models have been applied to dataon supermarket and electronic products. Strong evidence of systematic life cycleeffects has been found. Chapter 4 develops an hedonic regression model to constructmultilateral indexes-indexes that are consistent across time and space-inhousing markets. The set-up of the hedonic model attains some desirable properties,both in terms of statistical and index number perspectives. Applied to houseprices in Sydney, the model generated some interesting results, including that thecheaper regions exhibit greater price dynamics than the more expensive regions.Some potential areas for further research are also considered.
机译:本文的主要重点是市场水平的价格变动。本文研究了价格变动的两个方面的度量:价格刚性程度和纯价格变化。如果价格对需求者成本冲击的响应缓慢并且调整幅度小于冲击,则将价格定义为刚性。价格刚性是宏观经济学微观基础中的关键问题之一,其重要性至少自凯恩斯(1936年)就业,利息和货币通论以来就得到了证明。关于纯价格变化,由于观察到的价格受到产品质量和成分变化的污染,所以在许多市场中难以获得纯价格变化的度量。关于价格指数的文献强调了在市场水平上考虑质量变化的重要性。这些问题将在本文中进行探讨。本文的各章为价格运动的文献提供了独特但互补的贡献。第2章使用向量误差校正模型来估计17个不同国家/地区的零售咖啡市场中的价格刚性程度。从工作中得出的一个典型事实是,价格调整通常在施加冲击后的两个季度内发生。就价格变化的幅度而言,发现价格冲击比外部冲击更僵硬。第三章探讨了产品在其整个生命周期中遵循系统定价模式的程度以及其对通货膨胀衡量的影响。享乐模型的许多规格已应用于大唐超市和电子产品。已发现有系统的生命周期影响的有力证据。第四章建立了享乐回归模型,以构建跨时空市场的一致的多边指数。从统计和索引数的角度来看,享乐模型的设置都具有一些理想的属性。该模型应用于悉尼的房价,产生了一些有趣的结果,包括便宜的地区比更昂贵的地区表现出更大的价格动态,还考虑了一些可能需要进一步研究的领域。

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