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On Capacity Estimation and Capacity-Safety Relationship in an Air Transportation Network

机译:航空运输网络中的容量估计和容量安全关系

摘要

Air transportation is a complex system of interlinked distributed networks in which different components have their own constraints and performance measures. For example, an airport network in which each airport is treated as a node and models the departures/arrivals of flights as links considers capacity as its limiting factor. Whereas, an airspace network that consists of airways (as links) and waypoints (as nodes) providing an orderly flow of air traffic and safe separation between flights considers collision risk as its limiting factor. To accommodate the increasing demand to safely manage air traffic flow, it is imperative to understand the interactions between these two components and the limiting factors that define their characteristics. Understanding this relationship is a major consideration when determining whether and which components should aim to increase safety and capacity. In this thesis, I propose a model for airport network capacity estimation and a model of airspace network risk analysis. I then develop a framework for modelling and integrating airport and airspace networks in an overall air transportation system. Finally, I propose a methodology for determining their complex interactions to analyse the relationship between capacity and safety.One challenge in analysing the capacity-safety relationship for air transportation is measuring its capacity. In air transportation, capacities have traditionally been measured based on the individual elements of the network, such as links (sector capacity and airspace complexity) and nodes (terminals and runway throughput). These measures obviously do not constitute the overall system-level capacity of a network. This research involves developing a network-level capacity estimation model and method. The proposed model does not require knowledge of an individual airport's capacity and offers an understanding of the relationship between the flow capacity and safety metric of its corresponding airspace.Experimental and empirical results establish the nature of the relationship between airport network capacity and airspace safety when considered in an interacting air transport system. As the hourly flow increases in the airport network, the overall collision risk increases linearly and, after a certain level, crosses the target level of safety. Such a capacity-safety relationship indicates that the capability of existing air traffic control systems to safely handle projected growth in aircraft operations appears to be artificially limited by the airspace.
机译:航空运输是一个由互连的分布式网络组成的复杂系统,其中不同的组件具有各自的约束和性能指标。例如,一个机场网络,其中每个机场都被视为一个节点,并在链接将容量视为其限制因素的情况下对航班的出发/到达进行建模。鉴于由空中航线(作为链接)和航路点(作为节点)组成的,提供有序的空中交通流量和航班之间安全隔离的空域网络将碰撞风险视为其限制因素。为了适应对安全管理空中交通流量的不断增长的需求,必须了解这两个组件之间的相互作用以及定义其特性的限制因素。在确定是否以及哪些组件应旨在提高安全性和容量时,了解这种关系是主要考虑因素。本文提出了机场网络容量估计模型和空域网络风险分析模型。然后,我开发了一个框架,用于在整个航空运输系统中对机场和空域网络进行建模和集成。最后,我提出了一种确定其复杂相互作用的方法,以分析容量与安全之间的关系。分析航空运输的容量-安全关系中的一个挑战是测量其容量。在航空运输中,传统上是根据网络的各个要素(例如,链路(部门容量和空域复杂性)和节点(终端和跑道吞吐量))来测量容量。这些措施显然不构成网络的整体系统级容量。该研究涉及开发网络级容量估计模型和方法。该模型不需要了解单个机场的容量,并且可以了解其相应空域的流量和安全度量之间的关系。实验和经验结果确定了机场网络容量与空域安全之间关系的性质。在相互作用的航空运输系统中。随着机场网络中每小时流量的增加,总体碰撞风险呈线性增加,并在达到一定水平后超过安全目标水平。这种容量安全关系表明,现有的空中交通管制系统安全地处理飞机运行中预计增长的能力似乎受到了空域的人为限制。

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