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The Comparative Analysis of Economic Forecasting Model on China's Logistics Engineering Industry

机译：中国物流工程行业经济预测模型的比较分析

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Cuicui Liu; Jun Yun;
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年度 2012
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4. The Comparative analysis of Economic Forecasting Model on China's Logistics Engineering Industry [C] . Liu Cuicui, Yun Jun International Symposium on Engineering Emergency Management . 2013

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7. The aim of the present work is to test the predictive power of the term spread in forecasting real economic growth rates and recession probabilities in Italy. According to the most recent literature, the relationship between the term spread and economic growth rates is modelled as a nonlinear one and specifically the Logistic Smooth Transition model is used, while a probit model is implemented to forecast recession probabilities. In both applications evidence supports a relevant informative content of the spread in Italy. [O] . Costanza Torricelli, Marianna Brunetti 100

机译：本工作的目的是测试预测意大利实际经济增长率和经济衰退概率的预测能力。根据最新的文献，术语差价和经济增长率之间的关系被建模为非线性关系，特别是使用Logistic平滑过渡模型，而实施概率模型来预测衰退概率。在这两个申请中，证据支持意大利传播的相关信息内容。

The Comparative Analysis of Economic Forecasting Model on China's Logistics Engineering Industry

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