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Optimal public investment, growth, and consumption : evidence from African countries.

机译:最佳的公共投资,增长和消费:非洲国家的证据。

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摘要

How much does public capital matter for economic growth? How large should it be? This paper attempts to answer these questions, taking the case of SSA countries. It develops and estimates a model that posits a nonlinear relationship between public investment and growth, to determine the growth-maximizing public investment GDP share. It empirically also accounts for the crowding-in and crowding-out effects between public and private investment, with equations estimated separately and simultaneously, using System GMM. The paper further runs simulation and examines the public investment GDP share that maximizes consumption. This is estimated to be between 8.4 percent and 11.0 percent. The results from estimating the growth model are in the middle of this range, which is larger than the observed value of 7.2 percent at the end of the sample period. These outcomes suggest that, on average, there has been public under-investment in Africa, contrary to previous findings
机译:公共资本对经济增长有多大作用?应该多大?本文以SSA国家为例,试图回答这些问题。它开发并估算了一个模型,该模型假定公共投资与增长之间存在非线性关系,以确定增长最大化的公共投资占GDP的比重。它也根据经验考虑了公共和私人投资之间的挤入和挤出效应,并使用System GMM分别和同时估算了方程。本文还进行了模拟,并检验了使消费最大化的公共投资占GDP的比重。估计介于8.4%和11.0%之间。估计生长模型的结果在此范围的中间,大于采样期末的7.2%的观察值。这些结果表明,平均而言,非洲的公共投资不足,与之前的调查结果相反

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