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Exploring the segmentation space for the assessment of multiple change-point models

机译:探索用于评估多个变更点模型的细分空间

摘要

This paper addresses the retrospective or off-line multiple change-point detection problem. Methods for exploring the space of possible segmentations of a sequence for a fixed number of change points may be divided into two categories: (i) enumeration of segmentations, (ii) summary of the possible segmentations in change-point or segment profiles. Concerning the first category, a forward dynamic programming algorithm for computing the top L most probable segmentations and a forward-backward algorithm for sampling segmentations are derived. Concerning the second category, a forward-backward dynamic programming algorithm and a smoothing-type forward-backward algorithm for computing two types of change-point and segment profiles are derived. The proposed methods are mainly useful for exploring the space of possible segmentations for successive numbers of change points and provide a set of assessment tools for multiple change-point models. We show using examples that the proposed methods may help to compare alternative multiple change-point models (e.g. Gaussian model with piecewise constant variances or global variance), predict supplementary change points, highlight overestimation of the number of change points and summarize the uncertainty concerning the location of change points.
机译:本文解决了追溯或离线多变化点检测问题。用于探索固定数目的变化点的序列的可能分段空间的方法可以分为两类:(i)分段枚举,(ii)变更点或分段概要文件中可能分段的摘要。关于第一类,推导了用于计算前L个最可能分段的前向动态编程算法和用于采样分段的前向后向算法。关于第二类,推导了用于计算两种类型的变化点和分段轮廓的向前-向后动态规划算法和平滑型向前-向后算法。所提出的方法主要用于探索变化点的连续数目的可能分割的空间,并为多个变化点模型提供了一套评估工具。我们使用示例展示了所提出的方法可能有助于比较备选的多个变化点模型(例如,具有分段常数方差或全局方差的高斯模型),预测补充变化点,突出显示对变化点数量的过高估计以及总结有关变化点的不确定性。变更点的位置。

著录项

  • 作者

    Guédon Yann;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2008
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
  • 中图分类

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