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When Starting with the Most Expensive Option Makes Sense On Marginal Abatement Cost Curves and Optimal Abatement Pathways

机译:从最昂贵的方案入手时,对边际减排成本曲线和最优减排途径有意义

摘要

This paper investigates the optimal implementation schedule of the measures listed in a Marginal Abatement Cost Curves (MACC). Costs and abating potentials of each measure, provided by a MACC, are completed with a maximum implementation speed. We find that, when coping with a carbon budget, it makes sense to implement some expensive options before exhausting the abating potential of the cheapest options. With abatement targets expressed in terms of emissions at one point in time, e.g.~reducing emissions by 20% in 2020 and by 75% in 2050 it can be preferable to start with the most expensive options if their potential is higher and their inertia is great. The best strategy to reach a short-term target depends on whether this target is the ultimate objective or there is a longer-term target. Using just the cheapest options to reach the 2020 target may create a carbon-intensive lock-in and make the 2050 target unreachable. Results suggest that a unique carbon price in all sectors may not be the most efficient approach. Additional sectoral policies, such as the 20% renewable energy target in Europe, may be part of an efficient mitigation policy.
机译:本文研究了边际减排成本曲线(MACC)中列出的措施的最佳实施时间表。 MACC提供的每项措施的成本和降低潜力都以最快的实施速度完成。我们发现,应对碳预算时,在用尽最便宜的方案的潜力之前,先实施一些昂贵的方案是有意义的。在某一时间点以减排量表示减排目标,例如,到2020年减排20%,到2050年减排75%,如果潜力更大且惯性更大,则最好从最昂贵的方案开始是很棒的。达到短期目标的最佳策略取决于该目标是最终目标还是长期目标。仅使用最便宜的选择来实现2020年目标可能会产生碳密集型锁定,并使2050年目标无法实现。结果表明,并非所有部门都采用唯一的碳价可能是最有效的方法。其他部门政策,例如欧洲20%的可再生能源目标,可能是有效缓解政策的一部分。

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