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Productive Use of Solar PV in Rural Malawi : Feasibility Studies

机译:马拉维农村地区太阳能光伏的生产性利用:可行性研究

摘要

Productive Uses of Energy are agricultural, commercial and industrial activities involving energy services as a direct input to the production of goods or provision of services. Productive uses include home businesses, non-monetary income, excludes social infrastructure and cuts across different sectors, energy sources, and types of enterprises. This study focusses on the economic feasibility of a range of businesses in Malawi powered by solar PV. The overall objective is to identify a set of businesses that have the potential to be progressed to pilot projects. Surveys were carried out on existing electricity using businesses in Dedza, Malawi to determine CAPEX, OPEX and monthly income figures for agricultural, sales and services, and repair and manufacture businesses. Solar PV systems were designed to supply the business loads and then priced using component costs obtained from suppliers. 10 year cash flow forecasts were conducted for 3 business scenarios (strong, stable and weak). Using the modelled profit and loss, the viability of the different businesses powered by solar PV was evaluated. As shown in the table below, the study has found that irrigation and small sales and services (specifically barber shop and phone charging) businesses powered by standalone PV systems look likely to succeed, with most paying back initial investment under 3 years over all scenarios. Maize milling and tailoring businesses give paybacks of 5 and 8 years for strong and stable scenarios respectively, indicating grant funding would be required to contribute to CAPEX to be affordable for most entrepreneurs in Malawi. A metal workshop business doesn’t recover initial investment within 10 years for any of the scenarios modelled. The results indicate solar PV has potential to reduce poverty through income generation in Malawi. Recommendations have been given for implementing pilot projects based on the feasibility studies, along with suggestions for future research to inform wider scale dissemination of Solar PV productive use initiatives.
机译:能源的生产性使用是指涉及能源服务的农业,商业和工业活动,这些活动直接作为商品生产或服务提供的投入。生产性用途包括家庭企业,非货币收入,不包括社会基础设施,并且涉及不同部门,能源和企业类型。这项研究的重点是在马拉维使用太阳能光伏发电的一系列企业的经济可行性。总体目标是确定一组有潜力进行试点项目的业务。对马拉维Dedza的现有电力业务进行了调查,以确定农业,销售和服务以及维修和制造业务的CAPEX,OPEX和月收入数字。太阳能光伏系统旨在提供业务负荷,然后使用从供应商处获得的组件成本进行定价。针对3个业务场景(强,稳定和弱)进行了10年现金流量预测。使用建模的损益,评估了由太阳能光伏驱动的不同企业的生存能力。如下表所示,该研究发现,由独立光伏系统驱动的灌溉,小型销售和服务(特别是理发店和电话充电)业务看起来很可能会成功,大多数公司在所有情况下均可在3年内收回初始投资。玉米制粉和裁缝业务分别在强劲和稳定的情况下分别获得5年和8年的回报,这表明需要为马拉维的大多数企业家负担得起的CAPEX捐款提供赠款。金属车间业务无法在10年内收回任何模型建模的初始投资。结果表明,太阳能光伏有潜力通过马拉维创收来减少贫困。在可行性研究的基础上,已为实施试点项目提供了建议,并为将来的研究提供了建议,以更广泛地推广太阳能光伏生产使用计划。

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