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Examining the effects of exchange rates on Australian domestic tourism demand: A panel generalized least squares approach

机译:研究汇率对澳大利亚国内旅游需求的影响:小组广义最小二乘法

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摘要

In Australia, domestic tourism generated AUD71 billion in 2009-10, representing approximately 75.6% of national tourism revenue. While the number of domestic overnight visitors increased by 2.3% in that year, the number of Australians travelling overseas grew by 15.9%. This shows that there is a high tendency for more Australians to travel overseas. There are two possible reasons: first, the introduction of low cost carriers has induced cheaper flights to overseas, particularly from Australia to South East Asia; second, the dramatic appreciation of Australian dollars against major currencies, as well as the strong growth of Australian household income, have motivated more Australians to travel overseas rather than within their own country. The purpose of this study is to examine the economic factors that influence the demand for Australian domestic tourism. In particular, the research explores to what extent the appreciation of Australian dollar could affect the Australian domestic tourism industry, as measured by the number of nights spent by domestic holiday visitors, business travelers and visitors of friends and relatives (VFR) from quarter 1 of 1999 to quarter 4 of 2010. Furthermore, the study employs panel generalized least squares models because they take account of both heteroskedasticity and serial correlation to produce optimistic estimated standard errors. The empirical findings show that exchange rates could influence the decisions to travel domestically within Australia by holiday travellers. It is likely that Australians who are seeking holidays would prefer travelling overseas when the Australian dollar is high.
机译:在澳大利亚,2009-10年度国内旅游业创造了710亿澳元的收入,约占国家旅游总收入的75.6%。当年,国内过夜游客人数增加了2.3%,而出国旅游的澳大利亚人人数却增长了15.9%。这表明,越来越多的澳大利亚人出国旅行的可能性很高。可能有两个原因:首先,低成本航空公司的引入导致飞往海外的廉价航班,尤其是从澳大利亚飞往东南亚的廉价航班。其次,澳元兑主要货币的大幅升值,以及澳大利亚家庭收入的强劲增长,促使更多的澳大利亚人前往海外旅行,而不是在自己的国家旅行。本研究的目的是研究影响澳大利亚国内旅游需求的经济因素。尤其是,该研究探索了从1季度开始的国内假日游客,商务旅行者以及亲朋好友(VFR)的过夜天数来衡量,澳元升值会在多大程度上影响澳大利亚的国内旅游业。从1999年到2010年第4季度。此外,该研究采用面板广义最小二乘模型,因为它们同时考虑了异方差和序列相关性,以产生乐观的估计标准误差。实证结果表明,汇率可能会影响假日旅行者在澳大利亚境内进行国内旅行的决定。澳元高企时,正在寻求假期的澳大利亚人可能更愿意出国旅行。

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    Yap Ghialy Choy Lee;

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  • 年度 2011
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