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Prediction of wave-induced scour depth under submarine pipelines using machine learning approach

机译:基于机器学习方法的海底管道波浪诱发冲刷深度预测

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摘要

The scour around submarine pipelines may influence their stability; therefore scour prediction is a very important issue in submarine pipeline design. Several investigations have been conducted to develop a relationship between wave-induced scour depth under pipelines and the governing parameters. However, existing formulas do not always yield accurate results due to the complexity of the scour phenomenon. Recently, machine learning approaches such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have been used to increase the accuracy of the scour depth prediction. Nevertheless, they are not as transparent and easy to use as conventional formulas. In this study, the wave-induced scour was studied in both clear water and live bed conditions using the M5' model tree as a novel soft computing method. The M5' model is more transparent and can provide understandable formulas. To develop the models, several dimensionless parameter, such as gap to diameter ratio, Keulegan-Carpenter number and Shields number were used. The results show that the M5' models increase the accuracy of the scour prediction and that the Shields number is very important in the clear water condition. Overall, the results illustrate that the developed formulas could serve as a valuable tool for the prediction of wave-induced scour depth under both live bed and clear water conditions.
机译:海底管道周围的冲刷可能会影响其稳定性;因此,冲刷预测是海底管道设计中非常重要的问题。已经进行了一些研究来开发管道下波浪引起的冲刷深度与控制参数之间的关系。然而,由于冲刷现象的复杂性,现有的公式并不总是产生准确的结果。近来,已经使用诸如人工神经网络(ANN)之类的机器学习方法来提高冲刷深度预测的准确性。但是,它们不像常规公式那样透明且易于使用。在这项研究中,使用M5'模型树作为一种新颖的软计算方法,在清水和活床条件下研究了波浪冲刷。 M5'模型更加透明,可以提供易于理解的公式。为了开发模型,使用了几个无量纲参数,例如间隙直径比,Keulegan-Carpenter数和Shields数。结果表明,M5'模型提高了冲刷预测的准确性,并且在清水条件下,Shields数非常重要。总体而言,结果表明,所开发的公式可以作为预测活床和清水条件下波浪诱发冲刷深度的有价值的工具。

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