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Estimation of scour depth around circular piers: applications of model tree

机译:圆形墩周围冲刷深度的估算:模型树的应用

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摘要

Scour around bridge piers is one of the main causes of bridge failures and is of great importance for hydraulic engineers and scientists. Prediction of the scour depth around piers is complicated, and accurate results are rarely achieved by the existing models. Recently, data mining approaches such as artificial neural networks and fuzzy inference systems have been applied successfully to predict scour depth around hydraulic structures. In this study, an alternative robust data mining approach was used for the predictions of the scour depth around piers, and the results were compared with those of three empirical approaches. Performances of developed models were tested by experimental data sets collected in laboratory experiments and field measurements, together with existing empirical approaches. Statistical measures indicate that the proposed M5′ model provides a better prediction of scour depth than the empirical approaches.
机译:桥墩周围的冲刷是造成桥梁破坏的主要原因之一,对液压工程师和科学家而言非常重要。码头周围冲刷深度的预测很复杂,现有模型很少能获得准确的结果。最近,诸如人工神经网络和模糊推理系统之类的数据挖掘方法已成功地应用于预测水工建筑物周围的冲刷深度。在这项研究中,一种替代的稳健数据挖掘方法被用于预测墩台周围的冲刷深度,并将结果与​​三种经验方法的结果进行比较。已开发的模型的性能通过在实验室实验和现场测量中收集的实验数据集以及现有的经验方法进行测试。统计量表明,与经验方法相比,所提出的M5'模型提供了更好的冲刷深度预测。

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