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Transport combiné ou transport routier ? Etude des facteurs de choix entre deux systèmes de transport intérieur de fret

机译:联合运输还是公路运输?两种内陆货运系统选择的因素研究

摘要

The aim of this thesis is to describe the system of competition between the combined transport and the road transport through a quantitative analysis of the factors influencing the choice of the domestic combined transport. This analysis is based on the use of econometric tools for the choice of the transport mode based on the theory of consumer utility maximization. In order to find the factors sensitive to combined transport, the research followed a dual path: on the one hand, aggregated modelling of modal split using data from a sample of 44 primary corridors for domestic combined transport, and on the other hand, disaggregated modelling using data from an INRETS's survey of carriers. The results obtained during this work are rather encouraging. Our study confirms that factors such as price and distance have a strong influence upon the choice of combined transport. Moreover, other factors such as time intervals for train departures, the various categories of carriers, and the value per kilo of the parcel to be sent also influence the choice of combined transport. The method we used is able to forecast the influence of competition on the freight market and can also be a useful analytic tool for helping a policy that would develop combined transport.
机译:本文的目的是通过定量分析影响国内联合运输选择的因素,描述联合运输与公路运输之间的竞争体系。该分析基于使用计量经济学工具根据消费者效用最大化理论选择运输方式。为了找到对联合运输敏感的因素,研究采取了双重途径:一方面,使用来自44个主要联合运输通道的数据对模式分裂进行汇总建模,另一方面,对模型进行分解使用INRETS的航母调查数据。在这项工作中获得的结果令人鼓舞。我们的研究证实,价格和距离等因素对联合运输的选择有很大影响。此外,其他因素,例如火车发车的时间间隔,各种类型的承运人以及每公斤包裹的价值也将影响联合运输的选择。我们使用的方法能够预测竞争对货运市场的影响,并且也可以作为帮助制定联合运输政策的有用分析工具。

著录项

  • 作者

    Ji Zhi Ping;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 1994
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 fr
  • 中图分类

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