Analyse économique des effets de la planification urbaine sur les prix immobiliers et fonciers en zone littorale : le cas du Bassin d'Arcachon

摘要

Coastal municipalities need to regulate use and cost land justifies assessing and anticipating effects of urban planning, in particular of zoning of urban land use planning document (called POS), on housing and land prices for residential use. To meet this challenge, two approaches have been used and applied to municipalities of Arcachon Bay, tourist site land and environmental resources of which are threatened by strong residential pressure. The first, microeconomic, is the hedonic price method. The bayesian estimation of housing and land hedonic models, corrected for spatial autocorrelation, establishes existence of implicit price of distance to POS zones and their amenities. This price is positive for protected natural areas and negative for agricultural and forester areas, intended for future construction and those heavily constrained by the Coastal Low. The second, macroeconomic, is based on original model of dynamics of urban land occupation system in which interact housing production, potential land supply, residential attractiveness, and housing and land prices. Scenarios regulating urban growth were simulated: their effect, not always derogatory, on prices is determined by characteristics of municipalities and severity of public interventions.