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Insure or Invest in Green Technologies to Protect Against Adverse Weather Events?

机译:确保或投资绿色技术以防范恶劣天气事件?

摘要

This paper analyses investments in green technologies when insurance is also an option. Green technologies are defined to have the power to increase productivity and decrease volatility of future revenues. The insurance options involve the scale and coverage either in a yield insurance or in an index insurance. The stochastic process is a combination of insurable stationary short-run process and non-stationary long run process. The optimal decision rules are solved numerically by stochastic dynamic programming. The results suggest that the index insurance maintains market based incentives to invest in green technologies whereas a yield insurance substantially decreases investments, as expected. An actuarially fair yield insurance decreases investments at high productivity firms. By contrast if the insurance premiums are supported to the extent that the net loading becomes negative, firms with the lowest productivity have strong incentives to collect the benefits of the subsidized insurance rather than invest in higher productivity and lower risks. The yield insurance is the most attractive for low productivity firms while the index insurance is the most attractive for high productivity firms. Nevertheless, the demand for actuarially fair index insurance is reduced also amongst the high productivity firms, when the correlation between the yield and the index falls below 50%.
机译:当保险也是一种选择时,本文分析了对绿色技术的投资。绿色技术被定义为具有提高生产力和减少未来收入波动的能力。保险方案涉及收益保险或指数保险的规模和承保范围。随机过程是可保的固定短期过程和非固定长期过程的组合。最优决策规则通过随机动态规划数值求解。结果表明,指数保险保持了基于市场的动机来投资绿色技术,而收益保险则如预期的那样大大减少了投资。精算公允收益保险会减少对高生产率公司的投资。相反,如果在净负荷变为负数的情况下支持保险费,那么生产率最低的公司就有很强的动力来收集补贴保险的利益,而不是投资于更高的生产率和更低的风险。收益保险对低生产率公司最有吸引力,而指数保险对高生产率公司最有吸引力。然而,当收益率与指数之间的相关性低于50%时,高生产率公司对精算公平指数保险的需求也会减少。

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