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Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning: Enabling the effective use of multiple methods

机译:通过方案规划来支持适应决策:支持有效使用多种方法

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摘要

Scenario planning is a technique used to inform decision-making under uncertainty, and is increasingly applied in the field of climate change adaptation and policy. This paper describes applications that combine previously distinct scenario methods in new and innovative ways. It draws on numerous recent independent case studies to illustrate emerging practices, such as far stronger connections between researcher-driven and participatory approaches and cycling between exploratory and normative perspectives. The paper concludes with a call for greater support for, and collaboration among, practitioners with the argument that mixed methods are most effective for decision-making in the context of climate change challenges.
机译:情景规划是一种用于在不确定情况下为决策提供信息的技术,并且越来越多地应用于气候变化适应和政策领域。本文介绍了应用程序,这些应用程序以新颖和创新的方式结合了以前截然不同的方案方法。它借鉴了许多近期的独立案例研究来说明新兴的实践,例如研究人员驱动的方法和参与式方法之间的牢固联系以及探索性和规范性观点之间的循环。本文的结尾呼吁呼吁从业者更多的支持和合作,他们认为在气候变化挑战的背景下混合方法对于决策最有效。

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