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The gravity model and trade efficiency: a stochastic frontier analysis of Eastern European countries' potential trade

机译:引力模型和贸易效率:东欧国家潜在贸易的随机前沿分析

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摘要

The opening up process of the eastern European countries is characterised by an increasing degree of trade integration with their Western neighbouring countries. Typically, the degree of East–West trade integration is assessed by comparing actual trade volumes with potential trade volumes projected from the gravity model parameters estimated for a group of countries that best represent normal trade relations. This approach, however, does not compare trade levels against a maximum level of trade feasible for the group of eastern European countries. This paper using a stochastic frontier specification of the gravity model is able to identify the efficiency of trade integration relative to maximum potential levels. The findings, based on a panel data set of bilateral exports from 17 Western European countries to the 10 new member states over the 1994–2007 period, indicate a high degree of East–West trade integration close to two-thirds of frontier estimates, suggesting a low degree of trade resistances.
机译:东欧国家的开放进程的特点是与西方邻国的贸易一体化程度不断提高。通常,东西贸易一体化程度是通过将实际贸易量与根据重力模型参数预测的潜在贸易量进行比较来评估的,而重力模型参数是为一组最能代表正常贸易关系的国家估算的。但是,这种方法并未将贸易水平与东欧国家组可行的最大贸易水平进行比较。本文使用引力模型的随机前沿规范能够确定相对于最大潜在水平的贸易整合效率。根据1994-2007年间从17个西欧国家向10个新成员国的双边出口的面板数据集得出的结论表明,东西方贸易一体化程度很高,接近边境估计数的三分之二。较低的贸易阻力。

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    Ravishankar, G; Stack, MM;

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  • 年度 2014
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  • 正文语种 en
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