首页> 外文OA文献 >The Effects of Demographics on the Real Estate Market in the United States and China
【2h】

The Effects of Demographics on the Real Estate Market in the United States and China

机译:人口统计学对美国和中国房地产市场的影响

代理获取
本网站仅为用户提供外文OA文献查询和代理获取服务,本网站没有原文。下单后我们将采用程序或人工为您竭诚获取高质量的原文,但由于OA文献来源多样且变更频繁,仍可能出现获取不到、文献不完整或与标题不符等情况,如果获取不到我们将提供退款服务。请知悉。

摘要

This paper focuses on the demographic and economic factors that affect the changes in prices of the housing market. The study focuses on the United States housing market after its recent collapse due to the US financial crisis of 2008. It also looks at the Chinese housing market based on the determinants that are observed in the United States. It will also examine the after effects of the One Child Policy enacted in 1979 on the housing prices. The study will look at the current situation with the Chinese housing market and its similarities to the United States housing market before the US financial crisis.The study uses data from the United States Federal Bank of St. Louis’ Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) in a regression analysis to find the determinants of the National Composite Home Price Index for the United States, which tracks housing price fluctuation. The factors used are GDP, CPI, Supply of Homes, Real Median Income, Age Group “15-64”, Unemployment Rate, Mortgage Debt Outstanding, and Higher Education (Bachelor’s Degree or higher).The results show that working age population of “15-64” is statistically significant in the change of housing prices. Using the model, we will forecast the housing prices in the year 2030 and 2050. The study will also explore the options for the United States and Chinese government to maintain a healthy and transparent housing market.
机译:本文关注影响住房市场价格变化的人口和经济因素。该研究关注的是美国住房市场在因2008年美国金融危机而近期崩溃之后。它还根据在美国观察到的决定因素来研究中国住房市场。它还将研究1979年颁布的“独生子女政策”对房价的影响。这项研究将研究美国房地产危机前中国住房市场的现状及其与美国住房市场的相似之处。该研究使用了美国圣路易斯联邦银行联邦储备经济数据库(FRED)的数据在回归分析中找到美国国家综合房屋价格指数的决定因素,该指数可追踪住房价格波动。使用的因素是GDP,CPI,房屋供应,实际中位数收入,“ 15-64岁年龄段”,失业率,未偿还债务债务和高等教育(学士学位或更高)。结果表明,“ 15-64英寸在房价变动中具有统计学意义。使用该模型,我们将预测2030年和2050年的住房价格。该研究还将探索美国和中国政府维持健康透明的住房市场的选择。

著录项

  • 作者

    Li Henry;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2014
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种
  • 中图分类

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号