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Did the economic crisis affect income inequality and poverty in Germany? SOEP-based analyses, 2002-2009

机译:经济危机是否影响了德国的收入不平等和贫困?基于SOEP的分析,2002-2009年

摘要

Based on data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), income inequality and poverty in Germany from 2002 to 2009, i. e. economic well-being of different social groups in front of and during the economic crisis in the years 2008/09, are considered. Concretely, changes of structures in different income areas of German income distribution are taken into account by a new method for measuring inequality and poverty. The key elements of this new method are a) well-being orientations on group-specific well-being levels and b) the usage of variable equivalence scales for the different income areas.On this basis, results of binary logistical regressions are presented. It is tested whether a person belongs to a certain income area or not. In this context, the likelihood of unemployed persons for being located in the low-income area (weakly) increased between 2008 and 2009.Such microeconomic calculations are contrasted with macroeconomic variables and their development over time. The macroeconomic variables considered in this context are economic growth, inflation, and general unemployment.Additionally, income dynamics especially during crisis is captured via transition matrices. For instance, between 2008 and 2009 the share of persons, who stayed within the poverty area, grew by five percentage points, compared with 2007/2008. All in all, the paper’s findings produce valuable insights into cross-sectional and longitudinal effects of the crisis on inequality and poverty in Germany.
机译:根据德国社会经济专家组(SOEP)的数据,2002年至2009年德国的收入不平等和贫困状况: e。考虑了2008/09年经济危机之前和期间不同社会群体的经济福祉。具体而言,通过一种新的衡量不平等和贫困的方法,考虑了德国收入分配不同收入地区结构的变化。这种新方法的关键要素是:a)针对特定群体的幸福感的幸福感定向; b)针对不同收入地区的可变等价量表的使用。在此基础上,提出了二元logistic回归分析的结果。测试一个人是否属于某个收入区域。在这种情况下,失业人口在低收入地区(弱势地区)的可能性在2008年至2009年之间有所增加。这些微观经济计算与宏观经济变量及其随时间的发展形成对比。在这种情况下考虑的宏观经济变量是经济增长,通货膨胀和一般失业。此外,特别是在危机期间的收入动态是通过过渡矩阵获得的。例如,与2007/2008年相比,2008年至2009年期间,生活在贫困地区的人口比例增加了五个百分点。总而言之,该论文的发现对危机对德国不平等和贫困的横截面和纵向影响产生了宝贵的见解。

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    Faik Jürgen;

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  • 年度 2011
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