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The Nature of the Relationship Between International Tourism and International Trade: the Case of German Imports of Spanish Wine

机译:国际旅游业与国际贸易关系的本质:以德国进口西班牙葡萄酒为例

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摘要

This article deals with the relationship between international trade and tourism. We focus on the effect that German tourism to Spain has on German imports of Spanish wine. Due to the different stochastic properties of the series under analysis, which display different orders of integration, a methodology is used based on long memory regression models, where tourism is supposed to be exogenous. The period covered is January 1998 to November 2004. The results show that tourism has an effect on wine imports that lasts between two and nine months. Disaggregating the imports across the different types of wine it is observed that only for red wines from Navarra, Penedús and Valdepeñas, and to a certain extent for sparkling wine, tourism produces an effect on future import demand. From a policy-making perspective our results imply that the impact of tourism on the host economy is not only direct and short-term but also oblique and delayed, thus reinforcing the case for tourism as a means for economic development.
机译:本文讨论国际贸易与旅游业之间的关系。我们关注德国旅游对西班牙的影响对德国进口西班牙葡萄酒的影响。由于所分析序列的随机性不同,它们显示出不同的积分阶数,因此基于长记忆回归模型(该方法被认为是旅游业)使用了一种方法。所涉时期为1998年1月至2004年11月。结果表明,旅游业对葡萄酒进口的影响持续2到9个月。将进口的葡萄酒分类,可以发现只有纳瓦拉,佩内杜斯和瓦尔德佩纳斯的红酒,以及起泡酒在一定程度上影响了未来的进口需求。从决策角度来看,我们的结果表明,旅游业对东道国经济的影响不仅是直接的和短期的,而且是倾斜的和延迟的,因此加强了将旅游业作为经济发展手段的理由。

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