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Lebanon's state of erosion: divisions over the conflict in Syria sustain a dangerous stalemate

机译:黎巴嫩的侵蚀状态:叙利亚冲突的分歧使局势陷入僵局

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摘要

The repercussions of the war in Syria have produced a prolonged political stalemate in neighboring Lebanon. As the major political blocs in the country are aligned with opposing sides in the Syria conflict, fear of spillover has led major actors to avoid controversial decisions and suspend elections. This has left room for minimal consensus around maintaining the security that has helped shield Lebanon from the chaos next door. But it has also caused the progressive erosion of political legitimacy, which threatens to unravel political institutions and lead to the further fragmentation of political forces. As all sides are tied to external patrons who no longer consider the country a priority, domestic compromise is likely to remain out of reach. Germany and its European partners should step into the void, in particular the one left by the withdrawal of Saudi Arabia, and push for parliamentary elections as a first step toward due process. (Autorenreferat)
机译:叙利亚战争的影响在邻国黎巴嫩造成了长期的政治僵局。由于该国的主要政治集团与叙利亚冲突中的对立派系保持一致,对溢出的恐惧使主要参与者避免了有争议的决定,并中止了选举。这就给维持安全的最小共识留出了余地,安全已使黎巴嫩免受隔壁的混乱之害。但这也导致了政治合法性的逐步侵蚀,这有可能破坏政治体制,并导致政治力量的进一步分散。由于各方都与不再将国家视为优先事项的外部赞助商联系在一起,因此国内妥协可能仍然遥不可及。德国及其欧洲伙伴应步入空白,特别是沙特阿拉伯撤离留下的空白,并推动进行议会选举,这是朝着正当程序迈出的第一步。 (自动转介)

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    Wimmen Heiko;

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