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Bond Market and Stock Market Integration in Europe:A Smooth Transition Approach

机译:欧洲债券市场和股票市场一体化:平稳过渡的方法

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摘要

This paper investigates whether there has been a structural increase in financial market integration in nine European countries and the US in the period 1980-2003. We employ a GARCH model with a smoothly time-varying correlation to estimate the date of change and the speed of the transition between the low and high correlation regimes. Our test produces strong evidence of greater comovement across the board for both stock markets and government bond markets. Dates of change and speeds of adjustment vary widely across country linkages. Stock market integration is a more gradual process than bond market integration. The impact of European monetary union (EMU) is rather limited, as it has mainly affected the timing of bond market correlation gains (but hardly their size) and has had little discernible effect on stock market integration.
机译:本文调查了1980-2003年间,在9个欧洲国家和美国,金融市场一体化的结构性增长是否。我们采用具有平稳时变相关性的GARCH模型来估计变化的日期以及低相关性和高相关性机制之间的过渡速度。我们的测试提供了有力的证据,表明股票市场和政府债券市场的共同发展更大。变更日期和调整速度因国家之间的联系而异。股票市场整合是比债券市场整合更为渐进的过程。欧洲货币联盟(EMU)的影响相当有限,因为它主要影响债券市场相关性收益的时间(但几乎没有影响其规模),并且对股票市场整合几乎没有明显的影响。

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