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The Growing Spatial Polarization of Presidential Voting in the United States, 1992-2012:Myth or Reality?

机译:1992-2012年美国总统选举的日益加剧的空间两极分化:神话还是现实?

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摘要

There has been considerable debate regarding a hypothesis that the American electorate has become spatially more polarized over recent decades. Using a new method for measuring polarization, this paper evaluates that hypothesis regarding voting for the Democratic party’s presidential candidates at six elections since 1992, at three separate spatial scales. The findings are unambiguous: polarization has increased substantially across the country’s nine census divisions, across the 49 states within those divisions, and across the 3,077 counties within the states—with the most significant change at the finest of those three scales.
机译:关于美国选民在最近几十年中在空间上变得更加两极化的假说已经引起了很大的争议。本文使用一种新的极化度测量方法,评估了关于自1992年以来六次选举中民主党总统候选人在三个不同的空间尺度上投票的假设。调查结果是明确的:全国9个人口普查区,该区划内的49个州以及州内的3,077个县之间的两极分化已大大增加,其中变化最为明显的是这三个范围中最好的。

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