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Optimal Strategy for Prepayment of Mortgages

机译:提前还款的最优策略

摘要

We study a borrower's optimal strategies to terminate a mortgage with a fixed interest rate by paying the outstanding balance all at once. The problem is modelled as a free boundary problem for a Black-Scholes type pricing equation under the assumption of the Vasicek model for the short rate of investment. Here the free boundary provides the optimal time at which the mortgage contract is to be terminated. A number of integral identities are derived and then used to design efficient numerical codes for computing thefree boundary. Fornumerical simulation, parameters for the Vasicek model areestimated via the method of maximum likelihood estimate using 40 years of datafrom US government bonds. The asymptotic behavior of the freeboundary for the infinite horizon is fully analyzed. Interpolatingthis infinite horizon behavior and a known near expiry behavior, two simple analytical approximation formulas for the optimalexercise boundary are proposed. Numerical evidence shows that theenhanced version of the approximation formula is amazinglyaccurate; in general, its relative error is less than $1%$, forall time before expiry.
机译:我们研究了借款人通过一次性支付所有未偿还余额来终止固定利率抵押的最佳策略。在Vasicek模型的短期投资率假设下,该问题被建模为Black-Scholes型定价方程的自由边界问题。在这里,自由边界提供了终止抵押合同的最佳时间。导出许多积分身份,然后将其用于设计有效的数字代码,以计算自由边界。数值模拟中,使用来自美国国债的40年数据,通过最大似然估计的方法估计了Vasicek模型的参数。全面分析了无限边界的自由边界的渐近行为。插值此无限地平线行为和一个已知的接近到期行为,提出了最佳运动边界的两个简单解析近似公式。数值证据表明,逼近公式的增强版本非常精确。通常,在到期前的所有时间内,其相对误差均小于$ 1 %$。

著录项

  • 作者

    Xie Dejun;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2007
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
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