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Fluctuation in the international currency reserves of less developed countries: HIPC vs non-HIPC

机译:欠发达国家的国际货币储备的波动:重债穷国与非重债穷国

摘要

This paper uses the principles of the monetary approach model of balance of payments and exchange market pressure to analyze the fluctuations in the international reserves of LDCs. The motivation for this analysis derives from the recent emphasis of the debt reduction policies that target the HIPCs. These policies stress the importance of non-monetary, and to some extent non-economic factors such as institutional improvements, good governance, infrastructural development and poverty reduction strategies. The argument is that once such reforms are implemented effectively, the economic forces will work in the right direction enabling the HIPCs to sustain a healthy balance of payments. We use panel data analysis to examine whether there is a significant difference between international reserves fluctuations in the HIPCs and in the rest of the LDCs. Evidence from data over the period 1983–2003 for 47 LDCs - of which 20 qualify as HIPCs by the IMF-World Bank criteria - suggests that there are significant differences in the way the reserve flows respond to their main determinants in the two sets of countries. This begs the question of whether the above mentioned policies can alleviate the causes of such differences.
机译:本文使用国际收支和汇率市场压力的货币方法模型的原理来分析最不发达国家国际储备的波动。该分析的动机来自于针对重债穷国的减债政策的最新重点。这些政策强调了非货币的重要性,并在一定程度上强调了非经济因素,例如体制改善,善政,基础设施发展和减贫战略。有论点是,一旦有效地实施了这样的改革,经济力量就会朝着正确的方向努力,使重债穷国能够维持健康的国际收支。我们使用面板数据分析来检验重债穷国和其他最不发达国家的国际储备波动之间是否存在显着差异。 1983-2003年期间47个最不发达国家的数据证据表明,其中有20个国家按照货币基金组织-世界银行的标准符合重债穷国的条件,这表明在这两个国家,储备金对主要决定因素的反应方式存在很大差异。这就引出了上述政策是否可以缓解这种差异的原因。

著录项

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2007
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
  • 中图分类
  • 入库时间 2022-08-31 15:09:04

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