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Capital controls, capital flows, and banking crises

机译:资本管制,资本流动和银行危机

摘要

Capital controls have been adopted by emerging economies to change the volume and the composition of capital flows and to protect the economy from sudden stops. The effectiveness measured by empirical studies has remained inconclusive, due to the limitation of the available data. This paper adopts a theoretical model to examine whether capital controls could achieve these goals effectively. Consequently, this paper finds that capital controls on outflows and inflows may not achieve the goals on changing the volume and the composition of capital flows and on protecting the economy from banking crises and sudden stops. To be more specific, controls on capital outflows and inflows could change the volume of capital flows at the time when the controls are imposed. However, the ability of capital controls on changing composition of capital flows and to protect the country from banking crises and sudden stops is limited, regardless of symmetric or asymmetric controls across countries. It is concluded that capital controls may not be the way to protect the economy from sudden stops. It is overcoming the liquidity problems and offering affordable rates, rather than competitive rates, that are crucial to protect the economy from crises and sudden stops.
机译:新兴经济体已经采取了资本管制措施,以改变资本流动的数量和构成,并保护经济免受突然停止的冲击。由于可用数据的限制,通过实证研究衡量的有效性仍不确定。本文采用理论模型来检验资本管制能否有效地实现这些目标。因此,本文发现,对资本流入和流出进行资本管制可能无法达到改变资本流动的数量和构成以及保护经济免受银行危机和突然停止的目标。更具体地说,对资本流出和流入的控制可能会在实施这些控制时改变资本流动的数量。但是,无论国家间的对称控制或不对称控制如何,资本控制改变资本流量构成以及保护国家免受银行危机和突然停止的能力都是有限的。结论是,资本管制可能不是保护经济免受突然停顿的方式。它正在克服流动性问题,并提供负担得起的汇率,而不是竞争性汇率,这对于保护经济免受危机和突然停止至关重要。

著录项

  • 作者

    Chang Chia-Ying;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2013
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en_NZ
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