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The friday the thirteenth effect in stock prices: international evidence using panel data

机译:星期五股票价格的十三效应:使用面板数据的国际证据

摘要

This examination of the Friday the 13th effect, in 62 international stock indices for the period 2000 to 2008, characterises the degree that the effect is influenced by: (i) the GDP of the economy and (ii) the sign of the return on the prior day. These effects are assessed by the use of an EGLS panel regression model incorporating panel corrected standard errors. The turn of the month effect on Fridays is also examined. Three important results relating to the Friday the 13th effect are observed. First, the depressed Friday the 13th effect is present when the return on the prior day is negative. Second, when the return on the prior day is positive, the depressed Friday the 13th effect is absent. Third, the depressed Friday the 13th effect is independent of the GDP of the country when the returns on control Fridays are used as the yardstick.
机译:对2000年至2008年期间的62个国际股票指数中的第13个星期五效应进行的检验,揭示了该效应受以下因素影响的程度:(i)经济的GDP和(ii)收益率的回升迹象前一天。通过使用包含面板校正的标准误差的EGLS面板回归模型评估这些影响。还检查了星期五的月份变化。观察到与13号星期五效应有关的三个重要结果。首先,当前一天的收益为负时,低迷的星期五13号效应存在。其次,当前一天的收益为正时,则缺少沮丧的星期五13号效应。第三,当以控制星期五的收益作为衡量标准时,沮丧的第13个影响独立于该国的GDP。

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