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Keynes´s Approach to Macroeconomic Modelling: a Popperian Reconstruction

机译:凯恩斯的宏观经济建模方法:波普尔式的重构

摘要

We review Keynes´s attempt to deal with the `problem of induction´ since his Treatise on Probability and then argue that Popper´s `solution´ to the former, known as Popper´s evolutionary of knowledge and learning, is compatible with Keynes´s adoption of a conventional theory of knowledge in his later economic writings. We also argue that Keynes´s macro-theory as it appears in both his General Theory and his 1937 QJE paper can be (re)interpreted as an instance of a reformulated version of the `subjectivist´ version of Popper´s `Rationality Principle´ (RPs) according to which agents´ behaviour is appropriate or adequate to the problem-situation as the theorist believes that agents believe the former is. A number of further results follow from the previous arguments.
机译:我们回顾了凯恩斯自《论概率论》以来对“归纳问题”的尝试,然后论证了波普尔对前者的“解决方案”,即波普尔的知识和学习进化论,与凯恩斯兼容。在后来的经济著作中采用了传统的知识理论。我们还认为,凯恩斯的宏观理论在其通论和1937年的QJE论文中都可以被(重新)解释为波普尔“理性原则”的“主观主义”版本的重新制定的实例。 (RPs),根据理论家认为代理人相信前者的行为,根据代理人的行为适合或满足问题的情况而定。从先前的论点可以得出许多进一步的结果。

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