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Nonlinearity of the combined warm ENSO and QBO effects on the Northern Hemisphere polar vortex in MAECHAM5 simulations

机译:MAECHAM5模拟中暖ENSO和QBO组合对北半球极涡的非线性效应

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摘要

The influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) on the Northern Hemisphere (NH) polar vortex response to warm El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and the impact of the warm ENSO events on the QBO signal in the NH polar stratosphere have been analyzed using the Middle Atmosphere ECHAM5 model. The experiment setup was designed to include simulations of extended NH winter seasons for either strong easterly or strong westerly phases of the tropical QBO, forced with either sea surface temperatures (SSTs) from the strong ENSO event that occurred in 1997/1998 or with climatological SSTs. It has been found that the weakening and warming of the polar vortex associated with a warm ENSO are intensified at the end of the winter during both QBO phases. In addition, the westerly QBO phase delays the onset of the warm ENSO signal, while the easterly QBO phase advances it. Warm ENSO events also impact the extratropical signal of the QBO by intensifying ( weakening) the QBO effects in early ( late) winter. Therefore, it appears that during warm ENSO events the duration of QBO signal in the northern extratropics is shortened while its downward propagation accelerated. Our dynamical analysis has revealed that these results are due to changes in the background flow caused by the QBO combined with changes in the anomalous propagation and dissipation of extratropical waves generated by warm ENSO. In both cases, a nonlinear behavior in the response of the polar vortex is observed when both warm ENSO and the easterly phase of the QBO operate together. These results suggest that the Arctic polar vortex response to combined forcing factors, in our case warm ENSO and the QBO phenomena, is expected to be nonlinear also for other coexistent forcing factors able to affect the variability of the vortex in the stratosphere.
机译:准两年一次振荡(QBO)对北半球(NH)极涡对暖厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)事件的影响以及暖ENSO事件对NH极平流层中QBO信号的影响使用中间大气ECHAM5模型进行了分析。该实验装置的设计包括对热带QBO的强东风或强西风期的延长的NH冬季进行模拟,这是由于1997/1998年发生的强烈ENSO事件引起的海面温度(SST)或气候SST 。已经发现,在冬季结束时,两个QBO阶段都加剧了与温暖的ENSO相关的极地涡旋的减弱和变暖。此外,西风QBO相位会延迟暖ENSO信号的产生,而东风QBO相位则会提前。温暖的ENSO事件还会通过增强(减弱)冬季早期(晚期)的QBO效应来影响QBO的温带信号。因此,似乎在ENSO暖事件期间,北温带QBO信号的持续时间缩短了,而其下行传播加速了。我们的动力学分析表明,这些结果是由于QBO引起的背景流变化以及温暖的ENSO产生的温带波的异常传播和耗散的变化所致。在这两种情况下,当温暖的ENSO和QBO的东风相共同作用时,观察到极涡响应的非线性行为。这些结果表明,北极极涡对联合强迫因子的响应(在我们的案例中是暖ENSO和QBO现象)对于其他能够影响平流层涡流变异性的共同存在的强迫因子,也是非线性的。

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