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An Intelligent Trading System with Fuzzy Rules and Fuzzy Capital Management

机译:具有模糊规则和模糊资金管理的智能交易系统

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摘要

In this work we are proposing a trading system where fuzzy logic is applied not only for defining the trading rules, but also for managing the capital to invest. In fact, two fuzzy decision support systems are developed. The first one uses fuzzy logic to design the trading rules and to apply the stock market technical indicators. The second one enhances this fuzzy trading system adding a fuzzy strategy to manage the capital to trade. Additionally, a new technical market indicator that produces short and long entry signals is introduced. It is based on the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator. Its parameters have been optimized by genetic algorithms. The proposals are compared to a classical non-fuzzy version of the pro-posed trading systems and to the Buy-and-Hold strategy. Results favor our fuzzy trading system in the two markets considered, NASDAQ100 and EUROSTOXX. Conclusions suggest that the use of fuzzy logic for capital management is promising and deserves further exploration
机译:在这项工作中,我们提出了一个交易系统,其中模糊逻辑不仅用于定义交易规则,而且还用于管理投资资金。实际上,开发了两个模糊决策支持系统。第一个使用模糊逻辑设计交易规则并应用股市技术指标。第二个改进了该模糊交易系统,增加了一种模糊策略来管理交易资金。此外,引入了一个新的技术市场指标,该指标会产生短期和长期进入信号。它基于MACD(移动平均收敛散度)指标。其参数已通过遗传算法进行了优化。将提议与提议的交易系统的经典非模糊版本以及“买入并持有”策略进行比较。结果有利于我们在两个市场纳斯达克100和EUROSTOXX上的模糊交易系统。结论表明,将模糊逻辑用于资本管理是有前途的,值得进一步探讨。

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