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Ruin problems for a discrete time risk model with non-homogeneous conditions

机译:具有非均匀条件的离散时间风险模型的破产问题

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摘要

This paper is concerned with a non-homogeneous discrete time risk model where premiums are fixed but non-uniform, and claim amounts are independent but non-stationary. It allows one to account for the influence of inflation and interest and the effect of variability in the claims. Our main purpose is to develop an algorithm for calculating the finite time ruin probabilities and the associated ruin severity distributions. The ruin probabilities are shown to rely on an underlying algebraic structure of Appell type. That property makes the computational method proposed quite simple and efficient. Its application is illustrated through some numerical examples of ruin problems. The well known Lundberg bound for ultimate ruin probabilities is also reexamined within such a non-homogeneous framework.
机译:本文涉及的是非均匀离散时间风险模型,其中保费是固定的,但不一致,索赔额是独立的,但不是平稳的。它允许人们考虑通货膨胀和利息的影响以及索赔中可变性的影响。我们的主要目的是开发一种算法,用于计算有限时间的毁灭概率和相关的毁灭严重性分布。证明了破产概率依赖于Appell类型的基础代数结构。该性质使得所提出的计算方法相当简单和有效。通过一些破坏问题的数值例子说明了它的应用。在这样一个非均质的框架内,还将重新审查以极限破产概率为界的众所周知的伦德伯格。

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